Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.037031 0.040303 0.043598 0.047158 0.050889 0.054679 0.058812
2025-11-09 0.031330 0.036126 0.041115 0.046671 0.052660 0.058902 0.065876
2025-11-16 0.027076 0.032939 0.039224 0.046410 0.054343 0.062787 0.072404
2025-11-23 0.024751 0.031552 0.039031 0.047771 0.057607 0.068250 0.080551
2025-11-30 0.022698 0.030232 0.038718 0.048828 0.060400 0.073098 0.087957
2025-12-07 0.020756 0.028845 0.038164 0.049470 0.062609 0.077210 0.094480
2025-12-14 0.018804 0.027274 0.037252 0.049570 0.064093 0.080421 0.099927
2025-12-21 0.017666 0.026591 0.037306 0.050731 0.066744 0.084918 0.106801
2025-12-28 0.015706 0.024731 0.035816 0.049942 0.067022 0.086615 0.110415
2026-01-04 0.014438 0.023663 0.035221 0.050167 0.068443 0.089593 0.115471
2026-01-11 0.013512 0.022974 0.035044 0.050856 0.070382 0.093151 0.121181
2026-01-18 0.012660 0.022321 0.034865 0.051501 0.072238 0.096592 0.126743
2026-01-25 0.010889 0.020302 0.032854 0.049807 0.071226 0.096637 0.128353
2026-02-01 0.009750 0.019098 0.031852 0.049344 0.071695 0.098432 0.132021
2026-02-08 0.008790 0.018082 0.031048 0.049095 0.072396 0.100485 0.135984
2026-02-15 0.008473 0.018014 0.031527 0.050513 0.075193 0.105089 0.143014
2026-02-22 0.008078 0.017794 0.031773 0.051612 0.077579 0.109192 0.149450
2026-03-01 0.007580 0.017373 0.031710 0.052279 0.079403 0.112600 0.155048
2026-03-08 0.006955 0.016697 0.031250 0.052383 0.080485 0.115084 0.159521
2026-03-15 0.006685 0.016592 0.031602 0.053584 0.082980 0.119318 0.166131
2026-03-22 0.005895 0.015535 0.030511 0.052769 0.082827 0.120237 0.168679
2026-03-29 0.005436 0.015017 0.030194 0.053001 0.084028 0.122838 0.173282
2026-04-05 0.005127 0.014745 0.030230 0.053713 0.085851 0.126216 0.178840